Published: 05/2014

After a number of tense qualifying soccer (we in Europe like to call it “football”) matches, fever reaches high pitch: Brazil World Cup 2014 is about to begin! With opinions varying wildly, everybody seems eager to guess the winner these days; worldwide punditry united, both amateurs and professionals, prominent and no-name experts, including betting shops and even Goldman Sachs analysts – they’re all racing to predict a winner. We’re taking a different approach, trying to synthesize a whole swat of forecasts (in no scientific manner), guided by the marvelous Philip Tetlock’s line: “The wisdom of crowds is an important driver of accuracy”. Served with some interesting facts about the competition, as usual…